Gold Rush & Demoiselle Preview
Golden Gate Fields Race 7 & Aqueduct Race 8
Analysis by Michael Patricks
December has arrived and the curtain begins to fall on 2017 with three more weeks of racing scheduled before taking a holiday break. Golden Gate Fields and Los Alamitos both close on December 17th with Golden Gate set to reopen its doors Tuesday, December 26th, coinciding with Santa Anita’s opening day program.
It was frustration incorporated for yours truly last weekend. Editore prevailed with a perfect ride over Force who was forced to take the overland route home. Camino Del Paraiso ran his eyeballs out from an extremely wide draw, so it would be in your interest to stable mail him for his next appearance.
This week will offer a condensed analysis of the Gold Rush from Golden Gate and the Grade II Demoiselle from Aqueduct:
The Gold Rush: (Golden Gate Fields Race 7 3:45 P.M.)
Ayacara is the 2/1 people’s choice shipping up from So Cal. Sons of Violence have had lots of precocity and success in the early going. He competed in a Grade 1 at Santa Anita and has some credentials off that, plus Desormeaux makes the journey north to ride. Can’t fault those who will side with him, however, he’s 2/1 in a 10-horse field and only a neck clear of being a three race maiden so I’m going to try and beat him. Afleet Ascent at 3/1 will keep the pace honest from a wide draw, but he’s trying two turns for the first time and has never stepped foot on the Tapeta, so he’s not for me. Respect the Hustle checks in at 9/2. He’s shown an appreciation for the two turns and has won on turf and dirt, but is winless on synthetic from two tries and he was completely inactive in October, so perhaps he may need one.
I’m going to take a shot with Night at the Opera at 10/1. Love horses who do it in style on debut as he did and he’s shown he likes this strip. There is plenty of speed in this race and the presence of jockey Alvarado tells me that he’ll most likely snatch him up coming out of the gate and make one run at the end. He figures to save ground and be a healthy price, plus the :49.1 over this surface Tuesday morning is a buying sign. He was 5/2 in a $200,000 race on the Breeders’ Cup undercard and now you’re getting 10/1 on a surface he might prefer most of all, so think about that. La Waun ran well here two weeks ago before having his number taken down and if he takes to the two turns he could hit the board somewhere underneath.
Selections: #2 Night at the Opera 10/1
#7 Ayacara 2/1
#5 La Waun 15/1
#8 Respect the Hustle 9/2
The Demoiselle (Aqueduct Race 8 12:10 P.M.)
Wonder Gadot is the 2/1 favorite. She has the foundation within her to get the nine furlongs and shows up off a tough trip in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. She’s won on turf and synthetic and is a Grade III winner at Woodbine. Mark Casse grabs Johnny Velazquez to ride who is at 30 per cent on the meet and she deserves top billing as the most credentialed runner. Daisy is 2-for-2 and appreciated the stretch out in her first start against winners over this surface in the Grade III Tempted. You can expect her to be handy early and put in the race from the bell, but she’s going to get plenty of pace pressure from Maurer Power at 4/1.
Maurer Power is another daughter of win-early sire Violence who has done nothing wrong in two starts. I just love how well she’s run in both her races and note she defeated next out winners in both her prior starts. The fear is that she’ll be gung ho to take on Daisy and could lose some starch tackling her, but if she stays at or near the 4/1 offering, I’d recommend playing her on top. Also, note that John Servis trains Daisy and Maurer Power so it’s tough to imagine a speed duel taking place. Layla Noor ran well in a flat mile at Laurel. She shows up a bit under the radar in this spot and will give a decent account of herself to be sure. Tab her to round up your gimmicks.
Selections: #6 Maurer Power 4/1
#3 Wonder Gadot 2/1
# 1 Daisy 5/2
# 7 Layla Noor 12/1
Good luck with all your wagers and I’ll be back again next week with another installment.